TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ALERT STATEMENT

WHCA31 TAPA 

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ALERT STATEMENT 

ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES 12:15 PM ECT WED SEP 27 2023 

…TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE COULD IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE  LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS… 

A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT IS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA AND  BARBUDA, THE REST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH  VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MEANS THAT, IN  THIS CASE, A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS ENTERING THE MONITORED  AREA OF CONCERN, WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED IN  THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 

CONFIDENCE IN THE EVENTUAL PATH OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE  REMAINS RELATIVELY LOW. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TRACK  MORE WEST THAN NORTH DESPITE THE FORECAST OF A WEST NORTHWEST MOTION. GIVEN THE LATEST UPDATE, AT REASONABLE  WORST-CASE SCENARIO, THE STORM NOW POSES AN ELEVATED OR  MINOR THREAT TO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND WINDWARD  ISLANDS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LIMITED IMPACTS FROM 

MINIMAL STORM-FORCE WINDS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR  EXTENSIVE IMPACTS FROM ABOVE-NORMAL SWELLS. 

AT 11 AM ECT OR 1500 UTC, THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM  PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE  53.7 WEST OR ABOUT 593 MILES EAST OF THE ST. KITTS AND NEVIS  MOVING WEST AT 9 MPH. A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK IS  EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER  GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT  DAY OR TWO, WITH SLOW WEAKENING FORECAST THIS WEEKEND. 

BASED ON THE FORECAST MODEL TRACKS, THE CENTRE OF  TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE IS NOW FORECAST TO PASS  UNCOMFORTABLY CLOSE TO THE ISLANDS; HOWEVER, THE CHANCE  OF SUSTAINED STORM-FORCE WINDS REMAIN LOW, BUT THIS COULD  INCREASE, IF THE SYSTEM PERSISTS ON A WESTERLY PATH. 

WATCHES AND OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF  THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 

RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR TROPICAL STORM  PHILIPPE CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION, IF A  WATCH OR WARNING BECOMES NECESSARY. ALL ARE ALSO  STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO STAY PREPARED FOR THE REST OF THE  HURRICANE SEASON. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE GIVEN BY 5 PM TODAY, OR SOONER, IF  REQUIRED. 

FORECASTER 

DALE DESTIN

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