INFORMATION STATEMENT ON TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO

THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES IS FOLLOWING THE PROGRESS OF
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO, PREVIOUSLY TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94.
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE VICINITY OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO AND SOUTHERN
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY, AT WHICH TIME, IT IS FORECAST TO BE A
STORM. IN THE REASONABLE WORST-CASE, THE EXPECTED TROPICAL CYCLONE POSES LITTLE TO
NO WIND THREAT TO ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA, THE REST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE
BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. NO PREPARATIONS ARE NEEDED; HOWEVER, YOU SHOULD BE
PREPARED FOR THE HURRICANE SEASON.
AT 8 PM ECT, POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO, WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1190 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 18 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THERE IS A 70
PERCENT CHANCE OF FORMATION INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN 48 HOURS AND A 90 PERCENT
CHANCE OF FORMATION IN 5 DAYS.
ON ITS FORECAST TRACK, THE PROBABLE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE IN THE
SOUTHERN ISLANDS LATE TUESDAY AS A TROPICAL STORM BONNIE. ALTHOUGH THE THREAT
FROM WINDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN LITTLE TO NONE FOR THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN, ABOVE
NORMAL WINDS WILL FURTHER DETERIORATE HAZARDOUS SEAS, IN OPEN WATERS.
PLEASE NOTE THAT NO TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERTS, WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT, AT
THIS TIME, FOR THE AREA, AND NONE IS ANTICIPATED BASED ON THE FORECAST TRACK OF THE
SYSTEM.
RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SYSTEM AND BE PREPARED FOR
THE HURRICANE SEASON.

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